I guess I must have missed that memo but the go-to blog on wars (past, present and future) has issued what it describes as Israel’s attack plan in its next war with Lebanon in a post titled Israel Tells Lebanon How It Will Be Destroyed.

…Israel plans to use a larger force (4-5 combat divisions, versus three in 2006, and more than twice as many aircraft and many more commandos.) The next war would involve doing a lot more damage to Hezbollah, in a shorter period of time. The earlier war lasted 34 days. Since 2006, Hezbollah has acquired more power (via its control of about a third of the voters) in the Lebanese government. Thus the new plan involves doing a lot more damage to the rest of Lebanon, and the Lebanese armed forces. Israel wants all Lebanese to know that they are partly responsible for Hezbollah continuing to exist.

Anyone shaking in their sandals? Didn’t think so. The blog goes on to give a warped history lesson about Lebanon and Hezbollah, and how we fear Israel but are afraid of taking on Hezbollah for fear of the repercussions and therefore we must die.

I honestly love how the site simplifies everything; as if the whole thing is going to be a walk in the park for the Israelis. Quite naive in my opinion kind of like the objectives the Israelis set in the 2006 war. Just as the post rightly acknowledges that Israel has learned a lot from 2006, if fails to reciprocate that so have we. My personal opinion is that unless there is a balance of terror on both sides (i.e. we can match Israel’s firepower) then war is inevitable, but to pretend that you can dictate actions on the battlefield and predict their outcomes shows not more than pure gullibility and failure to fully understand events on the ground.

War a failure: Israeli soldiers walk back into Israel from south Lebanon in August 2006 (AFP: Gali Tibbon)

War a failure: Israeli soldiers walk back into Israel from south Lebanon in August 2006 (AFP: Gali Tibbon)